The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.
Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.
In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.
“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.â€
Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.
Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,†explained Rumbens.
The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.
The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.
The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.
Amidst this “new normal†of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.
Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.
The Reserve Bank’s latest decision to keep the cash rate steady gives Australian boat buyers a useful moment to pause, but it should not be mistaken for a guarantee that borrowing costs will stay simple or uniform. For households looking at a first trailer boat, a fishing upgrade, a personal watercraft or a larger family cruiser, the lending market remains highly dependent on borrower profile, boat type, deposit size, loan structure and lender appetite. - read more
Fresh September lending signals are giving Australian boat buyers another reason to slow down before signing a purchase contract. As the spring boating season gathers pace, lenders are still competing for well-qualified borrowers, but the gap between the cheapest-looking offer and the most suitable finance structure can be wider than many buyers expect. - read more
Spring is shifting Australia’s boating market into a more active phase, with warmer weekends likely to bring more inspections, test runs and conversations with dealers and private sellers. Alongside that renewed interest, seasonal safety reminders are also becoming more important for anyone preparing to buy, upgrade or return a vessel to regular use. - read more
Australia's used boat market is moving back into sharper focus as the spring boating season approaches, with marine classifieds and dealer activity again putting late-model trailer boats, fishing rigs, family runabouts, personal watercraft and cruisers in front of motivated buyers. For households that have spent winter researching models, the next few weeks may bring more inspection opportunities, but also more pressure to act quickly when a suitable vessel appears. - read more
Australia's winter boat show season has left many buyers with brochures, dealer follow-ups and a clearer sense of the vessel they want. The latest finance market signals now point to the next challenge: making sure the loan structure is as carefully chosen as the boat itself. - read more
With the 2026 Sydney Boat Show now complete, many Australian buyers are moving from browsing mode into decision mode. The event brought a broad mix of trailer boats, fishing craft, family cruisers, personal watercraft, electronics and accessories into one place, giving would-be owners a valuable chance to compare models and speak with dealers. The next step, however, is less glamorous and more important: turning enthusiasm into a sustainable finance plan. - read more
Secured and unsecured boat loans are assessed differently. This guide explains how deposits, boat valuations and loan-to-value ratios may influence borrowing limits, lender risk, upfront contributions and finance eligibility in Australia. - read more
A boat loan can be defined as a type of financing tailored specifically to help buyers acquire a boat. It serves a crucial role in making the dream of boat ownership more attainable, as it enables you to spread the payment over a period of time rather than shelling out a substantial sum upfront. - read more
Boating is a popular recreational activity in Australia, with over 85% of the population living within 50 km of the coast. However, boaters must consider the risks associated with being out on the water, including accidents, theft and damage to property. Insurance can help protect boat owners from these risks and provide peace of mind while navigating Australia's waters. - read more
Owning a boat brings unparalleled joy and freedom, whether you're cruising Sydney Harbour or exploring the Great Barrier Reef. However, like many rewarding pursuits, there is a financial side to consider. Understanding the true costs associated with boat ownership is crucial, allowing you to budget properly and enjoy your nautical adventures stress-free. - read more
Australian consumer credit laws may give boat loan borrowers important protections around licensing, suitability assessments, disclosure, contract terms, hardship assistance and complaints. This guide explains the key safeguards to understand before signing a boat finance contract. - read more
Buying a boat can be exciting, but the right preparation matters. Before you commit to a vessel, work through your needs, budget, finance options, inspection checks, paperwork, insurance and ongoing ownership costs so you understand what you are taking on. - read more
Start Here
Quotes are offered free & without obligation. We respect your privacy.
Knowledgebase
Subprime Loan: A type of loan offered to individuals with poor credit scores, typically at a higher interest rate.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.