The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.
Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.
In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.
“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.â€
Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.
Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,†explained Rumbens.
The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.
The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.
The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.
Amidst this “new normal†of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.
Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.
The Reserve Bank’s latest decision to keep the cash rate steady gives Australian boat buyers a useful moment to pause, but it should not be mistaken for a guarantee that borrowing costs will stay simple or uniform. For households looking at a first trailer boat, a fishing upgrade, a personal watercraft or a larger family cruiser, the lending market remains highly dependent on borrower profile, boat type, deposit size, loan structure and lender appetite. - read more
Fresh September lending signals are giving Australian boat buyers another reason to slow down before signing a purchase contract. As the spring boating season gathers pace, lenders are still competing for well-qualified borrowers, but the gap between the cheapest-looking offer and the most suitable finance structure can be wider than many buyers expect. - read more
Spring is shifting Australia’s boating market into a more active phase, with warmer weekends likely to bring more inspections, test runs and conversations with dealers and private sellers. Alongside that renewed interest, seasonal safety reminders are also becoming more important for anyone preparing to buy, upgrade or return a vessel to regular use. - read more
Australia's used boat market is moving back into sharper focus as the spring boating season approaches, with marine classifieds and dealer activity again putting late-model trailer boats, fishing rigs, family runabouts, personal watercraft and cruisers in front of motivated buyers. For households that have spent winter researching models, the next few weeks may bring more inspection opportunities, but also more pressure to act quickly when a suitable vessel appears. - read more
Australia's winter boat show season has left many buyers with brochures, dealer follow-ups and a clearer sense of the vessel they want. The latest finance market signals now point to the next challenge: making sure the loan structure is as carefully chosen as the boat itself. - read more
With the 2026 Sydney Boat Show now complete, many Australian buyers are moving from browsing mode into decision mode. The event brought a broad mix of trailer boats, fishing craft, family cruisers, personal watercraft, electronics and accessories into one place, giving would-be owners a valuable chance to compare models and speak with dealers. The next step, however, is less glamorous and more important: turning enthusiasm into a sustainable finance plan. - read more
Owning a boat brings unparalleled joy and freedom, whether you're cruising Sydney Harbour or exploring the Great Barrier Reef. However, like many rewarding pursuits, there is a financial side to consider. Understanding the true costs associated with boat ownership is crucial, allowing you to budget properly and enjoy your nautical adventures stress-free. - read more
Applying for a boat loan in Australia usually means providing documents that verify who you are, how you earn income, what you can afford to repay and what boat you intend to finance. Having these documents ready can help a lender assess your application more efficiently and reduce avoidable back-and-forth. - read more
Refinancing a boat loan is one option that may be available to borrowers who are looking to review their existing loan arrangements. Depending on the lender and the loan product, refinancing may involve changing the interest rate, repayment term or other loan features. Understanding how the refinancing process works can help you compare the options available. - read more
Owning a boat is a dream for many Australians, offering the freedom to explore our stunning coastlines and inland waterways. However, with that dream comes the reality of maintenance costs that can quickly add up if not carefully managed. Budget-friendly boat maintenance is key to ensuring you can enjoy your vessel without breaking the bank. - read more
Owning a boat is a dream for many Australians, offering an opportunity to explore the country's stunning waterways, enjoy recreational activities, and create lasting memories with family and friends. - read more
Welcome to the world of boat loans, where understanding your credit history is just as important as choosing the perfect vessel. Whether you're dreaming of lazy afternoons on the lake or planning epic adventures at sea, securing a boat loan effectively is the first step to making those dreams a reality. - read more
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.